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Asteroid YR4 won’t hit Earth, but scientists can’t rule out a moon hit – National TenX News

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The possibility of “city-killing” asteroid 2024 YR4 hitting Earth is no longer a threat, but it could strike the moon, according to scientists.

The James Webb Space Telescope (JWST) made the discovery after completing the first of two planned observations of asteroid 2024 YR4.

“While an Earth impact by 2024 YR4 on December 22, 2032 has now been ruled out, it continues to have a non-zero probability of impacting the Moon at this time,” the researchers wrote in their preliminary report.

There is a second round of JWST observations set for May 2025, before the asteroid could disappear into the outer solar system for the next several years.

If the asteroid hit the moon in 2032, it could potentially throw debris into surrounding space, according to professor Karri Muinonen of the University of Helsinki.

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“Should the asteroid impact the moon, the Earth-moon system could be clouded with particles detached from the moon and the asteroid, potentially threatening the human space infrastructure and operations,” he said.

The near-Earth asteroid first made headlines in late January, when NASA and the European Space Agency (ESA) announced its existence and said it had a 1 per cent chance of coming into contact with our planet.

That increase briefly saw 2024 YR4 labelled as the riskiest asteroid in the history of  NASA’s Centre for Near-Earth Object Studies (CNEOS) Sentry Risk Table.

“An asteroid this size impacts Earth on average every few thousand years and could cause severe damage to a local region,” the ESA said in a space safety briefing. “As a result, the object rose to the top of ESA’s asteroid risk list.”


Click to play video: 'Odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth just went up again, reaching new high'


Odds of asteroid YR4 hitting Earth just went up again, reaching new high


In another update in mid-February, the space agency had increased the chances of asteroid 2024 YR4 colliding with Earth, with the probability of impact rising to 3.1 per cent or one-in-32 odds of impact — the highest probability of a collision yet.

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It was the highest risk assessment an asteroid has ever received, after the 2.7 per cent chance of Apophis hitting in 2004. NASA said there was a 2.6 per cent chance of the asteroid hitting Earth in 2032 with a one-in-38 chance of impact — the same odds that appear on a roulette wheel.

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On Feb. 7, experts at NASA had bumped up the odds to a one-in-43 chance.

Scientists had previously said it was not keeping them up at night, and that no one should panic, despite not being able to rule out the possibility of an impact.

By Feb. 18, the space agency announced that the now-notorious piece of space rock had a roughly 3 per cent chance of colliding with Earth.

But on Feb. 20, CNEOS said that risk had fallen to about 1.5 per cent.

Regarding the most recent drop in impact risk, NASA wrote, “New observations of asteroid 2024 YR4 helped us update its chance of impact in 2032. The current probability is 1.5%.”

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“Our understanding of the asteroid’s path improves with every observation. We’ll keep you posted,” the agency said, suggesting more updates will come.

The asteroid measures between 40 and 90 metres wide, based on estimates from its reflected light.

If it did strike Earth, 2024 YR4 would cause “severe blast damage” spanning as far as 50 kilometres from the impact site, according to the International Asteroid Warning Network.

— With files from Global News’ Michelle Butterfield


&copy 2025 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.



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IMF chief backs Jerome Powell, U.S. Fed independence amid Trump pressure – National TenX News

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International Monetary Fund chief Kristalina Georgieva on Thursday underscored the importance of keeping central banks independent and threw her support behind beleaguered Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, who is facing a Trump administration investigation for renovation cost overruns.

Georgieva told Reuters in an interview that there was ample evidence that central bank independence worked in the interest of businesses and households, and that evidence-based, data-based decision-making is good for the economy.

The IMF managing director said she had worked with Powell and respected his professionalism.

“I have worked with Jay Powell. He is a very good professional, very decent man, and I think that his standing among his colleagues tells the story,” she said, when asked about a letter of support signed by her predecessor, Christine Lagarde, now head of the European Central Bank, and other large central banks.

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Powell on Sunday disclosed that the Trump administration had opened an investigation into him over cost overruns for a $2.5 billion project to renovate two historical buildings at the Fed’s Washington headquarters complex.

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Powell denies wrongdoing and has called the unprecedented actions a pretext to put pressure on him for not bowing to U.S. President Donald Trump’s long-running demands for sharply lower interest rates.


Click to play video: '‘Too late’: Trump slams U.S. fed chair Powell as either ‘incompetent or crooked’'


‘Too late’: Trump slams U.S. fed chair Powell as either ‘incompetent or crooked’


The probe has sparked widespread criticism from some key members of Trump’s Republican Party in the U.S. Senate, which must confirm his nominee to succeed Powell, along with foreign economic officials, investors and former U.S. government officials from both political parties.

Trump has repeatedly derided Powell’s leadership of the Fed and attacked him, often personally, over what he sees as the Fed chair’s slow moves to cut interest rates. On Wednesday, he dismissed concerns that eroding central bank independence would undermine the value of the U.S. dollar and spark inflation, telling Reuters, “I don’t care.”

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Georgieva said the IMF looked carefully at issues such as monetary and financial stability, as well as the strength of a country’s institutions. It was specifically interested in the Fed, given the role of the U.S. dollar as a reserve currency.

“It would be very good to see that there is a recognition … that the Fed is precious for the Americans. It is very important for the rest of the world,” she said.

Trump has also attempted to fire another Fed official, Governor Lisa Cook, who has challenged her termination in a legal case that will be argued before the Supreme Court next week.




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B.C. Premier David Eby says province’s LNG, mining of interest to India TenX News

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B.C. Premier David Eby spoke to reporters on Thursday morning from Mumbai, India, during his six-day trade mission.

He said that mining and energy companies in India are showing an interest in B.C.

“They are looking strongly to LNG as one of their ways of reducing carbon intensity, as well as reducing smog in the country,” Eby said.

“And so B.C. LNG has been an item of considerable interest, especially the projects that are reaching final investment decision over the next year — LNG Canada Phase 2, KSI Lisims LNG — as well as the projects that are under construction like Woodfibre LNG.”


Click to play video: 'B.C. looks to deepen trade ties with India'


B.C. looks to deepen trade ties with India


Eby was also asked about the rise in extortion cases in B.C.

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He said the province’s extortion task force will provide an update next week.

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“We have assembled a remarkable and historic task force, RCMP, CBSA,” Eby said.

“There are more police in Surrey right now than there have ever been. The RCMP has surged resources into the community.”

Eby said he has not been happy with the fact that there has been no update from the task force and he has asked them to provide one.

“There have been some important developments, people deported, an arrest here in India, cooperation between the Indian government and the Canadian government on this at the law enforcement level,” he added.

“That needs to continue, but, bluntly, we need better results, we need to see more arrests and whatever we can do to support the police to get the job done, we will do so.”

As of Jan. 12, Surrey police said there have been 16 reported extortion incidents in the city since the beginning of the year.


&copy 2026 Global News, a division of Corus Entertainment Inc.



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Mexico confident CUSMA will remain as Trump suggests it could expire – National TenX News

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Amid persistent doubts over the future of the Canada-United States-Mexico trade agreement (CUSMA), Mexico’s Economy Minister Marcelo Ebrard insisted on Thursday that the agreement remains firmly intact and that the three countries will close a deal to extend it.

“We’re already in the treaty review phase, and we have to finish by July 1; that’s our deadline,” Ebrard said during Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum’s daily morning press conference.

“We have made good progress on all the points that concern each of the parties.”

Ebrard’s comments were his first on the topic since U.S. President Donald Trump again cast doubt on the treaty’s future earlier this week.

“There’s no real advantage to it, it’s irrelevant,” Trump said on Tuesday, as he toured a Ford factory in Dearborn, Michigan.

The trilateral trade agreement, known as USMCA, replaced the North American Free Trade Agreement in 2020 and is a backbone of Mexico’s economy.

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The treaty, which was negotiated during Trump’s first term, requires the three countries to hold a joint review this year to extend the pact.

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If extended, the treaty will remain in place another 16 years. If not, it is subject to annual reviews.


Click to play video: 'Trump tariff threats back in spotlight as CUSMA trade talks to start in January'


Trump tariff threats back in spotlight as CUSMA trade talks to start in January


Technically, July 1 is a key date in the treaty’s review process, but many analysts expect negotiations to extend late into 2026 and said Trump will likely avoid extending the treaty before the U.S. midterm elections in November.

Trump’s recent threats to pursue military action against cartels have also added a new layer of uncertainty to U.S.-Mexico relations.

“I think Ebrard is betting on a best-case scenario, but the window for a July successful review is closing fast,” said Alexia Bautista, a former Mexican diplomat and lead Mexico analyst at the political risk consultancy firm Horizon Engage.

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“Given recent events and statements, the risk is that Trump injects security into the process, turning the trade review into a far more political negotiation.”

Pedro Casas, chief executive of the American Chamber of Commerce of Mexico, said he expects the U.S. will continue imposing tariffs on a wide spectrum of Mexican exports, regardless of the treaty’s future.

The Trump administration has imposed sweeping 50 per cent duties on steel and aluminum exports to the U.S., along with a 25 per cent tariff on cars shipped from Mexico, even when those vehicles comply with the terms of the trade deal.

“I think the most likely scenario is a positive review process where we agree to extend the treaty for another 16 years, but steep tariffs still remain on Mexican exports that undermine the strength of the agreement,” Casas said.




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